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New German election forecast: Merkel's party will win but lose seats

Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Sebastian Sternberg and Lukas F. Stoetzer

Washington post cites forecasting project zweitstimme.org where the authors present their forecasts. The predicted vote shares imply that all of the six parties are likely to get at least 5 percent of the national vote.

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