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zweitstimme.org predicts outcome of Bundestag election

The Zweitstimme.org project is preparing for the upcoming federal election on February 23. Initial projections are already available online and will be updated regularly, including relevant information for each constituency.

Since the 2017 federal election, an interdisciplinary research team has been working to improve voter forecasts. Researchers, led by Prof. Thomas Gschwend, Prof. Dr. Simon Munzert (Hertie School), and Prof. Dr. Lukas Stötzer (University of Witten/Herdecke) analyze the reliability of polls and potential changes leading up to election day. It also examines the chances of independent candidates winning a mandate.

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