Browsing articles from "May, 2014"

Anita Gohdes participating in Visions in Methodology Conference

May 16, 2014   //   by Anita Gohdes   //   General  //  Comments Off on Anita Gohdes participating in Visions in Methodology Conference

Anita Gohdes is participating in the 2014 Visions in Methodology Conference (VIM), 20-22 May at McMaster University, Canada. VIM is designed to address the broad goal of supporting women who study political methodology. Anita will be presenting the paper “Predicting unreported conflict fatalities with log-linear multiple recapture models”.

Julia Semmelbeck joins START for the Summer Fellowship on Illicit Networks

May 16, 2014   //   by Anita Gohdes   //   General  //  Comments Off on Julia Semmelbeck joins START for the Summer Fellowship on Illicit Networks

Julia Semmelbeck joins the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism for the 2014 Summer Fellowship on Illicit Networks. The fellowship takes place at the START headquarters, based at the University of Maryland from May 27 to July 31. She focuses her research on the analysis on how smuggling/ trafficking networks fail and on the opportunities where counter-measures are most likely to be successful.

Talk by Martin C. Steinwand (Stony Brook) on collaboration and competition between violent groups

May 15, 2014   //   by Anita Gohdes   //   General  //  Comments Off on Talk by Martin C. Steinwand (Stony Brook) on collaboration and competition between violent groups

Martin Steinwand, PhD, assistant professor at Stony Brook University, New York will be giving a talk on collaboration and competition between violent groups at the University of Mannheim.

Date: Tuesday, 24 June 2014.

Time: 10.30 to 12.00

Room: Parkring 47, Room 121

Martin C. Steinwand (Stony Brook University) and Nils Metternich (UCL): Who joins and who fights? A unified network approach to predict collaboration and competition between violent groups

ABSTRACT: Civil wars are frequently theorized as dyadic interactions between a government and a single rebel organization. In contrast, empirically we observe that up to two thirds of all civil conflicts are fought by multiple actors. In addition, civil wars with multiple actors are also the most intense and longest observed conflicts. While many studies have highlighted this empirical finding, few authors fully integrate a n-actor approach in their theoretical models. This paper tackles this gap by modeling (1) why and when violent groups decide to form alliances and (2) when the coalitions break-down and infighting takes place. Our modeling strategy combines an integrated game-theoretic and empirical approach. This means that we use the strategic structure from the game theoretic analysis as basis for the structure of our statistical model. We fit this model to newly available data on intergroup-interactions in a variety of strategically important conflict prone countries. We identify factors that drive alliance formation, effectiveness, and durability.

Sabine Carey participating in ENCoRE Jerusalem workshop

May 6, 2014   //   by Anita Gohdes   //   General  //  Comments Off on Sabine Carey participating in ENCoRE Jerusalem workshop

Sabine Carey will be participating in the ENCoRE Jerusalem workshop, in Jerusalem from May 13-15, 2014. The workshop will focus on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The workshop will include tours of contentious areas of Jerusalem and its surroundings, lectures by Israeli and Palestinian scholars as well as meetings with non-governmental human rights organizations that actively work on certain aspects of this conflict.